The hunt to establish firm support higher up the $30,000 channel continues amid confidence that the worst of the longer-term retracement is already over.
Bitcoin (BTC) briefly fell below $38,000 on Aug. 3 as signs of a retracement from range highs continued to flow in.
Caution before BTC price swing lower
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD tapping $37,960 on Bitstamp before rebounding.
Still trading 3.7% lower on the day, the pair had come off local highs above $42,500 at the weekend amid concerns over regulatory moves from the United States this week.
As Cointelegraph reported, analysts were already hoping that a correction would take Bitcoin several thousand dollars lower in order to create a higher low, from which it could continue its upside.
The target zone, lying around $36,000, was now key to hold in order to prevent what trader Pentoshi called “worst-case scenarios.”
“Deviations wrecking those people who don’t plan for them,” he warned Twitter followers alongside a chart showing key price levels.
“I’ll bid on range high reclaim OR in the grey box for a HL. If we fall below the mid range and start closing below then you need to plan for some worst case scenarios. These are my only two triggers for a long (at the moment).”
Exchange levels differed only slightly from that hypothesis on Tuesday, with major support lingering at $35,000 on Binance.
Resistance was in place at $41,000, with the range high of $42,500 now of major interest among sellers.
Analyst: Bitcoin retrace “has happened”
Zooming out, meanwhile, fellow trader and analyst Rekt Capital found sense in longer-term price action, potentially reinforcing $29,000 as a floor.
Related: Price analysis 8/2: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, XRP, DOGE, DOT, UNI, BCH, LINK
On a yearly timeframe within four-year cycles, $29,000 has provided support in 2021, placing post-halving behavior firmly in historical context.
The #BTC retrace has happened
Instead of occurring in Q1 however, it took place in mid-Q2
In any case, $BTC rebounded from a key Four Year Cycle level:
• ~$29,000 (black)
Essentially, $BTC turned Candle 4 resistance into new Candle 1 support#Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/P700exoAae pic.twitter.com/GxSuMEUjHK
— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) August 2, 2021
Others had also taken heart from Bitcoin’s July turnaround and monthly close, among them stock-to-flow price model creator PlanB.